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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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the gallup poll showed president obama under mitt romney. how do they come back after a such a large gap? >> that 72% likely seems large, but those numbers are often dictated by the spin that comes after a debate performance, so it's probably a little bit artificially high for those who saw the debate. that being said i think the president needs to get back into the driver's seat. it has really only been the last several months that we has taken off in a position of strong play. he needs to give the base a reason to be excited. if there's anything to worry about, it's the enthusiasm numbers, and those are the easiest to impact on a moments notice. if like michelle said he's aggressive on the stump in articulating his vision but also tying it back to how his record has impacted people in this country, and how his plans and romney's plans will do that in the future. >> joy: and michelle there was a battle groub poll that shows nation wise 86% of romney supports are extremely likely to vote. so the question is how does the president energize re
the gallup poll showed president obama under mitt romney. how do they come back after a such a large gap? >> that 72% likely seems large, but those numbers are often dictated by the spin that comes after a debate performance, so it's probably a little bit artificially high for those who saw the debate. that being said i think the president needs to get back into the driver's seat. it has really only been the last several months that we has taken off in a position of strong play. he needs...
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Oct 19, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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most of the national polls have it tied with obama or romney up one. in most of the national polls that i've seen, including a ppp poll that came out today had women at about 51%. gender gap is not the margin of women voting for obama. it is difference in men and women and there still is a gender gap. sometimes it is a little smaller, sometimes a little bigger but women are always more democrat leaning than men are. that will be true in this vote as well. >> eliot: steve, let me turn to you. the disappearance of what had been an 18% marge and i think ann is correct. we have to be careful on how we define it. it has shrunk dramatically. what do we know about the women who have shifted? if it was an 18-point margin, you still have a 6 or 7 point shift. do we know who they are educationally, geographically, income level and how you address their concerns? >> i think as i pointed out in the -- essentially the voters who have been identified all along as swing voters, not as strong for the president until end of august and september. and they've gone back t
most of the national polls have it tied with obama or romney up one. in most of the national polls that i've seen, including a ppp poll that came out today had women at about 51%. gender gap is not the margin of women voting for obama. it is difference in men and women and there still is a gender gap. sometimes it is a little smaller, sometimes a little bigger but women are always more democrat leaning than men are. that will be true in this vote as well. >> eliot: steve, let me turn to...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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WJLA
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this comes out -- as polls show the race between romney and president obama are in a dead heat. >> a poll taken after last week's debate shows running getting a bounce in the polls. that same gallup poll shows that voters thought overwhelmingly romney won that debate, the biggest debate when ever recorded by gallup. republican presidential candidate mitt romney tipperary break -- took a rare break talking about the economy and slammed the policy in the middle east. >> it is clear the conflict is higher now than when the president took office. >> trying to seize on the president's handling of last month's attack in libya. >> i know the president hopes for a safer freer, and more prosperous middle east, allied with us. i share this hope. but hope is not a strategy. >> the candidate went to an impromptu third stop after 100 middle school kids waved at his motorcade. romney's numbers are up and they appeared to be tied. the president continued his california fund-raising swing which is expected to bring in $10 million over two days. the president attended a dedication to the cesar chavez
this comes out -- as polls show the race between romney and president obama are in a dead heat. >> a poll taken after last week's debate shows running getting a bounce in the polls. that same gallup poll shows that voters thought overwhelmingly romney won that debate, the biggest debate when ever recorded by gallup. republican presidential candidate mitt romney tipperary break -- took a rare break talking about the economy and slammed the policy in the middle east. >> it is clear...
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Oct 26, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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>>ive three polls gallup, abc news, "washington post". 50, 47 romney. that doesn't go to the electoral college. his like ability has gone down it was in 0sh2008 that has to b concerning for your side. no question it has tightened up. no question there was momentum after the first de>> i think the stabilization particularly in the states. at the end of the day that is going to matter. we are not being much more of a romney surge in north carolina. >> in florida it is comfortably romney same with virginia. >> it is dead even. it told me within the margin of error. >> it is a ground game. >> the ground game is going to be important. >> he closed the gap in ohio significantly as well. he had a much more significant lead there. >> he has narrowed the gap but that narrowing seems to have stopped it. if he doesn't ghetto owe he is going to get wisconsin, colorado new hampshire and either nevada or iowa. that's tough to run obama. he introduces anything new. release the booklet. people don't have a reason to be enthusiastic and getut there. >> what is he going
>>ive three polls gallup, abc news, "washington post". 50, 47 romney. that doesn't go to the electoral college. his like ability has gone down it was in 0sh2008 that has to b concerning for your side. no question it has tightened up. no question there was momentum after the first de>> i think the stabilization particularly in the states. at the end of the day that is going to matter. we are not being much more of a romney surge in north carolina. >> in florida it is...
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Nov 22, 2012
11/12
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CURRENT
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before november 6th most polls gave president obama clear edge over mitt romney but some polls that seemed to lean republican throughout the race favored the g.o.p. candidate. so much so that romney and his campaign staff many national republicans and fox news s" predicted the rates correctly said too many polls made too many assumption abouts the people they were attempting to poll. >> just going with what the data said instead of making assumptions is usually best practice when doing scientific survey. >> eliot: i'm joining with mark, senior editor of the "huffington post." thanks for joining us. >> thank you formation me un. >> eliot: polling is more than picking up the phone, calling 12 random people and adding up who said what? >> increasingly, when i started in this business 25 years ago you could do something like that. you could get a scientifically random sample, a few reasonable steps to make it rigorous and not have to do a whole lot of waiting or adjustment afterwards. now there have been a combination of things. lower response rates the whole cell phone problem basically two-t
before november 6th most polls gave president obama clear edge over mitt romney but some polls that seemed to lean republican throughout the race favored the g.o.p. candidate. so much so that romney and his campaign staff many national republicans and fox news s" predicted the rates correctly said too many polls made too many assumption abouts the people they were attempting to poll. >> just going with what the data said instead of making assumptions is usually best practice when...
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Oct 18, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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the gallup poll shows mitt romney with a six-point lead over the president, the biggest in the campaign. those numbers don't reflect what happened in last night's debate. these do. 48% of registered voters say the president won the content compared to 33% for mitt romney. after the candidates came out and shook hands, the gloves came off and the fight began starting with jobs and the auto industry bailout. >> obama: when governor romney said that we should let we're going to bet on american workers american auto industry, and it has come surging back. >> romney: that's precisely what i recommended and what happened. >> obama: candy, what governor romney said simply isn't true. he wanted to take them into bankruptcy without providing them any way to stay open, and we would have lost a million jobs. >> eliot: the president has hammered romney on the centerpiece of his campaign, his plan to cut taxes across the board to restore the economy. >> obama: we haven't heard from the governor any specifics beyond big bird and eliminating funding for planned parenthood in terms of how he pays for t
the gallup poll shows mitt romney with a six-point lead over the president, the biggest in the campaign. those numbers don't reflect what happened in last night's debate. these do. 48% of registered voters say the president won the content compared to 33% for mitt romney. after the candidates came out and shook hands, the gloves came off and the fight began starting with jobs and the auto industry bailout. >> obama: when governor romney said that we should let we're going to bet on...
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and this amazing surge in the poll for romney. pugh, gallup, you name it, they are saying nothing but nice things about governor romney. what is your reaction? >> my reaction is president obama better do more than just make a few jokes at a fund-raiser out in los angeles. lou: was that a joke? >> she did say he was having an off night and not a stellar performance. lou: let's share this self-deprecating humor. i'm going to call everybody's caught the president's laughing and used face as he says this. see how much fun you thought the president was having as he made this self-deprecating joke. >> everybody here is an incredible professional, such great friends. they just performed flawlessly night after night. i can always say the same. [laughter] lou: did you see him cracking up? he can barely control himself. >> his idea of settles humor. i mean, what can he do? lou: the great one is so new ones that we cannot detected. >> at least he acknowledged that he has a problem. lou: what do you think? >> well, his surrogates are out ther
and this amazing surge in the poll for romney. pugh, gallup, you name it, they are saying nothing but nice things about governor romney. what is your reaction? >> my reaction is president obama better do more than just make a few jokes at a fund-raiser out in los angeles. lou: was that a joke? >> she did say he was having an off night and not a stellar performance. lou: let's share this self-deprecating humor. i'm going to call everybody's caught the president's laughing and used...
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Oct 22, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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polls have romney up big. other vs. it in a dead heat. the lathes from the key swing states that will be the deciding factor. kimberly will breakdown the numbers yet. sometimes life can be well, a little uncomfortable. but when it's hard or hurts to go to the bathroom, there's dulcolax stool softener. dulcolax stool softener doesn't make you go, it just makes it easier to go. dulcolax stool softener. make yourself comfortable. >> 16 days to go before the election, millions of cast their ballots. millions will be making their choice before the final debate between governor romney and president obama. by then 39 states will be eligible for early voting. a survey shows one of every three voters is expected to vote before november 6th. in yemen, an air strike killing four people and a missile apparently fired by a u.s. drone hit a vehicle traveling east. they consider the al-qaeda branch operating there to be the world's most active and have used drones in the past. a senior al-qaeda member was killed there in october in a similar air strike.
polls have romney up big. other vs. it in a dead heat. the lathes from the key swing states that will be the deciding factor. kimberly will breakdown the numbers yet. sometimes life can be well, a little uncomfortable. but when it's hard or hurts to go to the bathroom, there's dulcolax stool softener. dulcolax stool softener doesn't make you go, it just makes it easier to go. dulcolax stool softener. make yourself comfortable. >> 16 days to go before the election, millions of cast their...
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Aug 18, 2012
08/12
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CURRENT
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the president even led romney in a poll of the g.o.p. candidates natural constituents according to the financial times, business executives worldwide said president obama would be better for the global economy than romney by 43% to 26%. for more on the race for president let's go to craig crawfords politics blogger at craig crawford.com and the author of "the politics of life." craig, always great to have you on the show. >> yes, i would say that ryan is a blip than a bump, but certainly not a bounce. >> eliot: we will who knows what it will turn into. we got a statement from somebody senior in the romney campaign today saying we don't want to put out specifics just specifics get campaigns in trouble. my first thought was man they're admitting they're trying to scam the public. they're not even willing to tell us what they believe. how do you understand this? >> well, it's actually pretty good politics against the challenger who wants to keep the incumbent's complain negative. i thought the romney campaign has done a pretty good job keep
the president even led romney in a poll of the g.o.p. candidates natural constituents according to the financial times, business executives worldwide said president obama would be better for the global economy than romney by 43% to 26%. for more on the race for president let's go to craig crawfords politics blogger at craig crawford.com and the author of "the politics of life." craig, always great to have you on the show. >> yes, i would say that ryan is a blip than a bump, but...
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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COM
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there's also rasmussen poll that has romney three hey, 47-44. >> a lot of these polls where you see the president with, like, a five- or six-point lead, you go into the internals and you see they've been over-sampling democrats by, like, nine, or even, 10 or even 13 points. >> actually, greg, there was a brand new national bloomberg poll released today showing governor romney leading president obama on the issue of terrorism by six point. >> jon: how the hell are these polls so divergent, useless, accurate, yet quotable? i think we all know what we need? nerds! >> when you see obamaing gaining in today's poll, that means obama's interviews yesterday were better than seven days ago conducted before the debate. he went from three ahead in the seven-day track yesterday to five ahead in the track today. the next round of swing state polls shows the swing states tied, then democrats really will-- it will be appropriate for them to panic. ( laughter ) ( applause ) >> jon: nobody understands these things but those guys. and they're not telling us anything. is there anything that can help us ge
there's also rasmussen poll that has romney three hey, 47-44. >> a lot of these polls where you see the president with, like, a five- or six-point lead, you go into the internals and you see they've been over-sampling democrats by, like, nine, or even, 10 or even 13 points. >> actually, greg, there was a brand new national bloomberg poll released today showing governor romney leading president obama on the issue of terrorism by six point. >> jon: how the hell are these polls...
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Oct 19, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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mitt romney and all the polls, certainly gallup, shows it is a dead heat with women out there. mitt romney has done a remarkable job bringing them over to his side in the last two, three weeks. why would that be, anderson? it is clear they were looking for another option. in a 90-minute debate, they took a look and they have been watching the president for four years. his policies have failed and have hurt women, have hurt children. so they have said, look, is there another option? they tuned in and saw the governor and said, my gosh, here is not only a good and decent man but somebody that offers us a brighter future for our family and our children and they went with it. >> you're saying this poll is flat-out wrong? >> i think it cannot be accurate. let them say what they want. we have moved women into the column under mitt romney. that's the important thing. i believe it is because he offers a good and positive future for americans. >> do you buy this poll or believe this gallup poll? >> look, i don't know exactly how much abortion is playing in this election. i do think it h
mitt romney and all the polls, certainly gallup, shows it is a dead heat with women out there. mitt romney has done a remarkable job bringing them over to his side in the last two, three weeks. why would that be, anderson? it is clear they were looking for another option. in a 90-minute debate, they took a look and they have been watching the president for four years. his policies have failed and have hurt women, have hurt children. so they have said, look, is there another option? they tuned...
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Oct 19, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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romney. >> bill: the latest gallup poll shows romney up. don't panic. in fact, i would say don't pay any attention to it whatsoever. we've been through this before, but every time one of those polls come out people say oh, my god it's all over, it's all over. no, not at all. couple which points to remember, one, this is a national tracking poll, national tracking polls don't mean beans. we do not elect a president of the united states with a national popularity poll. we do not have a national referendum. we do it state by state. number two gallup, that particular poll, is only one of six daily national tracking polls, all of which are meaningless, but of the six gallup is the least trustworthy of all. nate silver who has the best site on "the new york times," what he calls a 538 site, analyzes and traction 136 different polls and he reports yesterday that the gallup poll is the least trustworthy of all 136. in the year 2000, in august, for example, they had george bush over al gore by 16 points. then in september, they had al gore up over g
romney. >> bill: the latest gallup poll shows romney up. don't panic. in fact, i would say don't pay any attention to it whatsoever. we've been through this before, but every time one of those polls come out people say oh, my god it's all over, it's all over. no, not at all. couple which points to remember, one, this is a national tracking poll, national tracking polls don't mean beans. we do not elect a president of the united states with a national popularity poll. we do not have a...
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Dec 1, 2012
12/12
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MSNBCW
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romney poll is off by over 9. ouch. in colorado within romney poll had romney up 2.5 points. obama won by 5.4. romney poll off by almost 8. again, ouch. in iowa, a tie. romney won by almost 6 points. in minnesota, romney poll showed romney up by 4. he won by 7.7. in wisconsin, showing obama up by 4. he won by 6.8. in pennsylvania the romney poll showed obama up three points. he won by 5.4. so these are big swings. this isn't a little bit off. so the question becomes, why were the romney numbers so very off? the reporter who got the polling data posed that question to romney polster neil newhouse. he said, quote, i'm not sure what answer is, newhouse said. his future client may want to know that. he said his polls were more accurate than most of the other swing states. though there was a knowledge of the electorate. he said the colorado latino vote was challenging as it was in florida. the romney campaign also stemmed in part from the voter intensity. their polls asked voters how interested they were in the election on a scale of 1-10. voters who scored 8, 9 or 10 romney led i
romney poll is off by over 9. ouch. in colorado within romney poll had romney up 2.5 points. obama won by 5.4. romney poll off by almost 8. again, ouch. in iowa, a tie. romney won by almost 6 points. in minnesota, romney poll showed romney up by 4. he won by 7.7. in wisconsin, showing obama up by 4. he won by 6.8. in pennsylvania the romney poll showed obama up three points. he won by 5.4. so these are big swings. this isn't a little bit off. so the question becomes, why were the romney numbers...
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Sep 22, 2012
09/12
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FOXNEWSW
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you pew poll, the wall street journal nbc poll and they show romney behind, 4, 5, sometimes 7 percentage points whereas the gallup poll is essentially tied. how do you explain that contradiction. the gallup poll is one doing this for decades and tracks daul daul-- daily on a daily basis. >> a lot of difference for the polls, paul, is in the democrat versus republican balance in the sample. in 2008, according to exit polls, there were seven points more democrats in the lelectorae than republicans. in 2010, no difference. in 2004, no difference. so a lot of the difference in these polls depends upon what you assume the electorate will look like. many of the polls with the biggest leads for obama are counting on the 2008, plus 7 democratic ballot. >> paul: a big gap. >> i don't think that's going to happen. it's a big gap. i don't think it's going to happen, never happened before in the last 14 years. >> paul: so do you follow gallop or do you think that the average of the poll, real clear politics average is the right -- which number is the best to look at for people who care on a daily ba
you pew poll, the wall street journal nbc poll and they show romney behind, 4, 5, sometimes 7 percentage points whereas the gallup poll is essentially tied. how do you explain that contradiction. the gallup poll is one doing this for decades and tracks daul daul-- daily on a daily basis. >> a lot of difference for the polls, paul, is in the democrat versus republican balance in the sample. in 2008, according to exit polls, there were seven points more democrats in the lelectorae than...
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Oct 19, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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in this poll out later tonight, 49-45, that's governor romney. what are we to make of that? >> honestly whenever i see a poll, with the president up, whether it's national or state, or mitt romney up nationally or state, i need to see more than one. that's one. >> sean: that's fair. >> second of all, left or right, i need to see that in the swing states. right now i'm just looking at -- i'm really looking at ohio. >> you always have to -- even though gallup is the most prestigious polling company, organization in the nation, you also have to average them out. scott rasmussen, our friend, we all admire him very much, says in the polls you have to look at the commonalities. in the national tracking polls, no one else has romney at 52, but has him at 46, 47, you average him out, it's 46, 47. an incumbent president at that level three weeks before an election is in a terrible predicament. >> sean: he i agree with that. "the daily show" taped a segment with president obama today. it's not been aired, but this was released in terms of a quote that he m
in this poll out later tonight, 49-45, that's governor romney. what are we to make of that? >> honestly whenever i see a poll, with the president up, whether it's national or state, or mitt romney up nationally or state, i need to see more than one. that's one. >> sean: that's fair. >> second of all, left or right, i need to see that in the swing states. right now i'm just looking at -- i'm really looking at ohio. >> you always have to -- even though gallup is the most...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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romney trailed by eight points earlier in month in that poll. we look at the poll numbers and all the important electoral college count in just a few moments. but first, governor romney says the president's global vision puts american national security at risk. chief political correspondent carl cameron has specifics. >> at the virginia military institute in measured tone, mitt romney wants his toughest critique yet of obama foreign policy. >> america security and cause of freedom cannot afford four more years like the last four years. >> romney said hope is not a strategy. administration policy weakened the u.s. and its allies while emboldening the enemies. >> with iran closer than ever to nuclear weapons capability with the conflict in syria threatening to destabilize the region and with violent extremists on the march, and with an american ambassador and three others dead, likely at the hands of al-qaeda affiliates, it's clear that the risk of conflict in the region is higher now than when the president took office. >> romney ripped the admin
romney trailed by eight points earlier in month in that poll. we look at the poll numbers and all the important electoral college count in just a few moments. but first, governor romney says the president's global vision puts american national security at risk. chief political correspondent carl cameron has specifics. >> at the virginia military institute in measured tone, mitt romney wants his toughest critique yet of obama foreign policy. >> america security and cause of freedom...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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the latest poll showing mitt romney pulling ahead of president obam a. governor romney leading 49% to 47% among likely voters. brit hume is here. nice to see you. there is a lot of enthusiasm by the people in the sound bite. but if you look at democrats, they concede that the momentum is definitely in governor romney's favor. what can -- in president obama -- governor romney's favor. what can president obama do? >> i think he would be wise not to panic because these polls, if you look at the gallup poll is sampled two way, registered voters and president obamma was a ahead. had they asked the questions that they asked to determine who is likely voter and broke out that set of voters, that indicated they were likely voters, you have mitt romney ahead by two percentage points, that's well inside the margin of error. so it could be the other way. so basically, what this is sell tells us is that the race remains exceedingly close, while the debate performance, that even many democrats acknowledge was a win for governor romney and has given him momentum here,
the latest poll showing mitt romney pulling ahead of president obam a. governor romney leading 49% to 47% among likely voters. brit hume is here. nice to see you. there is a lot of enthusiasm by the people in the sound bite. but if you look at democrats, they concede that the momentum is definitely in governor romney's favor. what can -- in president obama -- governor romney's favor. what can president obama do? >> i think he would be wise not to panic because these polls, if you look at...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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. >> a brand-new poll shows governor romney with a 2-point edge over president obama. >> the day after the debate, the ground swell of romney winning was bigger and bigger. i think that will widen. >> obama's been on defense and he is going down in the polls. >> we have polling data now that shows romney ahead, wherever he is ahead, i think hebe he has been ahead for months or weeks. i don't think it happened overnight. they're all saying rom no is surging. >> he was on the stage with the president of the united states. he looked like he was in command. he was in charge of the entire discussion. i think that's the reason the polls are tightening right now. >> i told you three months ago, two months ago and one month ago, if the election were held on taday twould be a landslide romney itch the faces are the facts. we just saw them come to light in the last debate. with no outside b.s., no biased media, no interruptions or negative political ads, and no damn teleprompters. >> the debate is not just... shifting the polls. the debate is creating momentum. >> this business of just going out
. >> a brand-new poll shows governor romney with a 2-point edge over president obama. >> the day after the debate, the ground swell of romney winning was bigger and bigger. i think that will widen. >> obama's been on defense and he is going down in the polls. >> we have polling data now that shows romney ahead, wherever he is ahead, i think hebe he has been ahead for months or weeks. i don't think it happened overnight. they're all saying rom no is surging. >> he...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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can hold off romney in wisconsin you're seeing a surge in polls for mitt romney you're seeing him probably going to take florida in most of the battle grounds. and i don't know why in and and scott walker earlier this summer by the national party hundreds and paul ryan saying i just don't know how they couldn't win wisconsin. if you look, it's tied oof 20 seconds, steve on your home state of wisconsin. >> it's a fact there is a dry run on june 5th. i think it suggests wisconsin is in play. if they make efforts to put there, i think republicans can win it. >> viewers should go to gretawire.com. about what it's done since 1996. keeps swinging back and forth will make you dizzy. panel just stand by. straight ahead four americans murdered in ben gazy. we don't know what happened. will it impact elections? next. [ male announcer ] this is steve. he loves risk. but whether he's climbing everest, scuba diving the great barrier reef with sharks, or jumping into the market, he goes with people he trusts, which is why he trades with a company that doesn't nickel and dime him with hidden fees. so he
can hold off romney in wisconsin you're seeing a surge in polls for mitt romney you're seeing him probably going to take florida in most of the battle grounds. and i don't know why in and and scott walker earlier this summer by the national party hundreds and paul ryan saying i just don't know how they couldn't win wisconsin. if you look, it's tied oof 20 seconds, steve on your home state of wisconsin. >> it's a fact there is a dry run on june 5th. i think it suggests wisconsin is in...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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can hold off romney in wisconsin you're seeing a surge in polls for mitt romney you're seeing him probably going to take florida in most of the battle grounds. and i don't know why in and and scott walker earlier this summer by the national party hundreds and paul ryan saying i just don't know how they couldn't win wisconsin. if you look, it's tied oof 20 seconds, steve on your home state of wisconsin. >> it's a fact there is a dry run on june 5th. i think it suggests wisconsin is in play. if they make efforts to put there, i think republicans can win it. >> viewers should go to gretawire.com. about what it's done since 1996. keeps swinging back and forth will make you dizzy. panel just stand by. straight ahead four americans murdered in ben gazy. we don't know what happened. will it impact elections? next. look, if you have copd like me, you know it can be hard to breathe, and how that feels. copd includes chronic bronchitis and emphysema. spiriva helps control my copd symptoms by keeping my airways open for 24 hours. plus, it reduces copd flare-ups. spiriva is the only once-daily inhaled
can hold off romney in wisconsin you're seeing a surge in polls for mitt romney you're seeing him probably going to take florida in most of the battle grounds. and i don't know why in and and scott walker earlier this summer by the national party hundreds and paul ryan saying i just don't know how they couldn't win wisconsin. if you look, it's tied oof 20 seconds, steve on your home state of wisconsin. >> it's a fact there is a dry run on june 5th. i think it suggests wisconsin is in...
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Sep 19, 2012
09/12
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what about this, the new swing state poll showing governor romney essentially even. a nation-wide poll shows the president's post convention bounce sizzling out. what do we make of this? >>guest: the swing state poll is now the 4th poll run by "usa today" at 48-46. i'm amazed, frankly. nowhere in the four articles run in conjunction with the swing state poll do they give you context. president obama carried each of these states, all 11 of these states by a margin of 54-45. so, mitt romney is already running ahead of the pace of john mccain. president obama is running six points behind where he did in the states, over six points behind, where he did in the states in 2008. if i were in the white house looking at this and saying i was going to run six points behind last time, you run six points behind 63 percent of vote, it is amazing to me. i made this point at a breakfast sponsored by "politico" the monday of the republican national convention. a couple of days later a reporter from "usa today" said that is an interesting point about us not putting context in our stor
what about this, the new swing state poll showing governor romney essentially even. a nation-wide poll shows the president's post convention bounce sizzling out. what do we make of this? >>guest: the swing state poll is now the 4th poll run by "usa today" at 48-46. i'm amazed, frankly. nowhere in the four articles run in conjunction with the swing state poll do they give you context. president obama carried each of these states, all 11 of these states by a margin of 54-45. so,...
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Nov 6, 2012
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now, there isn't one poll, not one that shows romney winning that state. it's either tied or obama wins. >> here is why i think. this most of those polls show inordinate, a "wall street journal," new york "wall street journal" nbc 8 point advantage for democrats. >> it's the same old story. >> look at early votes. early vote in ohio four years ago obama won it by 340,000 more democrats turned out and voted earlier absentee than republicans. this year as of saturday night. 155,000 fewer democrats had turned out to vote early that absentee than voted four years ago. 120,000 more republicans. republicans win the election day. the last time they lost the elections day presidential election was 1964. they have cut the lead have from 340,000 to 75 million. >> bill: unless sunday and monday were big dem days. >> going to be good dem days. i have been watching this. a good item day cuts the republicans 2 or 3,000. >> bill: your indicator is the vote ahead favors the republicans as opposed to what happened last time around. 340,000 democrats than republicans. now.
now, there isn't one poll, not one that shows romney winning that state. it's either tied or obama wins. >> here is why i think. this most of those polls show inordinate, a "wall street journal," new york "wall street journal" nbc 8 point advantage for democrats. >> it's the same old story. >> look at early votes. early vote in ohio four years ago obama won it by 340,000 more democrats turned out and voted earlier absentee than republicans. this year as of...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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. >> rose: several national polls have the president and governor romney in a virtual dead heat coming down the stretch, some others have different results when you look at the swing states, joining me now is mark halperin of time magazine, i am pleased to have him the here once more at this table. so where are we? >> well, if the election -- you know, i think the most important thing is we don't really know what is going to happen, the race is close enough nationally in the battle ground states even before the storm there were enough variables that one can most comfortably and accurately say we will go into election day not knowing. even if the polls go one way i would not have great confidence that would foretell what the outcome is going to be. >> rose: are there things this storm and the aftermath might affect that would have a direct relationship to what happens at the polls? >> i think will be the loss of life and loss of property is foremost in everybody's minds and one of the great things about these two candidate is, it is not just a throw away line to say the president's top
. >> rose: several national polls have the president and governor romney in a virtual dead heat coming down the stretch, some others have different results when you look at the swing states, joining me now is mark halperin of time magazine, i am pleased to have him the here once more at this table. so where are we? >> well, if the election -- you know, i think the most important thing is we don't really know what is going to happen, the race is close enough nationally in the battle...
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mitt romney's really being run by that 10% that you showed in the poll, the 10% who think the taxes on the rich are too high. those are the people running his show. and from the republican strategist point of view and i talked to one today, they think anytime they yell tax at barack obama, they have a winner. he's a tax raiser, a tax raiser. >> the white house answer to that is going to be mitt romney is republicans are out to screw the middle class and they're not using the tax code in the best possible way to create jobs. because if you talk to economists and i have, fair minded ones, not raging liberals, fair minded ones, they will tell you that cutting taxes on the wealthiest americans while it might create some jobs, is certainly not the most efficient way to use the tax code to create jobs. as a matter of fact, the best way to create jobs is to focus tax cuts on the middle class. study after study has shown that and that's part of the president's argument. >> well, is it an argument that can hold up? we're 120 days away from the election. this is going to be the narrative for the
mitt romney's really being run by that 10% that you showed in the poll, the 10% who think the taxes on the rich are too high. those are the people running his show. and from the republican strategist point of view and i talked to one today, they think anytime they yell tax at barack obama, they have a winner. he's a tax raiser, a tax raiser. >> the white house answer to that is going to be mitt romney is republicans are out to screw the middle class and they're not using the tax code in...